AutoML Time Series Forecasting Optimization

An AI analytics company building predictive intelligence for supply chain and demand forecasting. Their existing ML model produced suboptimal results with accuracy gaps on seasonal patterns and no automated model selection or retraining.
Cylix optimized their forecasting models and built a custom AutoML engine for sequential data that automates model selection, hyperparameter tuning, and retraining to deliver more accurate and maintainable forecasting at scale.
Solution Implemented
Problem Statement
The ML model is currently achieving only 72% forecast accuracy, falling short of the 80%+ threshold required for reliable business decision-making. Model selection is a manual and time-consuming process, taking over 40 hours per project without a systematic comparison framework. Performance is particularly weak on seasonal and cyclical patterns, with the model failing to account for factors such as holidays, weather, and promotions. There is no automated retraining in place, leading to model degradation over time as data distributions shift. Additionally, reliance on a single-model approach limits overall performance, with no ensemble strategies implemented in production.


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